Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000746 0.000853 0.000966 0.001094 0.001235 0.001385 0.001557
2024-12-22 0.000573 0.000719 0.000885 0.001086 0.001321 0.001586 0.001905
2024-12-29 0.000479 0.000641 0.000833 0.001076 0.001372 0.001716 0.002144
2025-01-05 0.000411 0.000584 0.000797 0.001077 0.001428 0.001849 0.002387
2025-01-12 0.000353 0.000529 0.000756 0.001063 0.001459 0.001947 0.002585
2025-01-19 0.000304 0.000479 0.000714 0.001042 0.001478 0.002026 0.002756
2025-01-26 0.000277 0.000458 0.000707 0.001064 0.001549 0.002171 0.003013
2025-02-02 0.000253 0.000437 0.000698 0.001082 0.001613 0.002307 0.003261
2025-02-09 0.000222 0.000402 0.000666 0.001064 0.001627 0.002376 0.003421
2025-02-16 0.000194 0.000369 0.000634 0.001042 0.001634 0.002434 0.003566
2025-02-23 0.000178 0.000353 0.000625 0.001055 0.001687 0.002554 0.003796
2025-03-02 0.000163 0.000337 0.000614 0.001062 0.001732 0.002663 0.004013
2025-03-09 0.000141 0.000307 0.000580 0.001033 0.001724 0.002700 0.004134
2025-03-16 0.000122 0.000279 0.000548 0.001003 0.001714 0.002733 0.004249
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000263 0.000533 0.001000 0.001742 0.002820 0.004441
2025-03-30 0.000099 0.000248 0.000519 0.000999 0.001772 0.002909 0.004638
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000231 0.000500 0.000986 0.001783 0.002971 0.004796
2025-04-13 0.000077 0.000213 0.000477 0.000967 0.001782 0.003014 0.004926
2025-04-20 0.000072 0.000209 0.000479 0.000987 0.001846 0.003154 0.005201
2025-04-27 0.000067 0.000203 0.000478 0.001004 0.001903 0.003286 0.005465
2025-05-04 0.000059 0.000189 0.000459 0.000987 0.001904 0.003332 0.005602
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000174 0.000439 0.000967 0.001899 0.003367 0.005725
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000169 0.000436 0.000979 0.001947 0.003486 0.005973